原材料成本持续反弹,甲醇期货价格获得支撑
1.Marketreviewandoutlook
截至周五收盘,期货市场themethanolcontracthasslightlyreduceditspositiontoday,with5,161positionsintheweightedmethanolcontractand4,966positionsinthe05maincontract.Theweightedcontract,盘中走势全天震荡下行,整体收盘下跌0.8%。
EmergingdownstreamdemandTheaverageoperatingloadrateofChina‘scoal(methanol)toolefinsunitswas88.38%,down1.24%month-on-month.Ithasbeendecliningforthreeconsecutiveweeks,butisstillatamid-to-highhistoricallevel;portinventorieshavestoppedfallingandrebounded.InthethreemajorproductionareasofNorthwestChina,andthesupplysidehasincreased.Althoughthefundamentalcontradictionisnotbig,中国东部和中国北部,开工率上升,供需缺口扩大,whichhassuppressedthepriceofmethanol.Theupstreamrawmaterialcostsideofthecoalmarketstoppedfallingandrebounded,whichprovidedsomesupportformethanolfuturesprices.Short-termmethanolpricefluctuationsareviewedasweak.
技术走势:在小时周期中,afterthepricebrokethroughthesecondarydownwardtrendpressureline,itcameunderpressureandadjustedslightlyattherecenthighpoint.Inthedailycycle,价格再次跌破2350,andtheshort-termlongandshortsideswereatthekeyprice.Thereisfiercecompetitionnearby,和短线预计将波动。
2.IndustryNews
根据Clarkson的统计,2023年,therewere72ordersformethanoldual-fuelpoweredcontainershipswithadeadweightof8.869million,whileordersforLNGdual-fuelpoweredcontainershipswereonly43withadeadweightof5.916million.Comparedwithlastyear,ordersforLNGdual-fuelpoweredcontainershipswereashighas103withadeadweightof12.613milliontons,whileordersformethanoldual-fuelpoweredcontainershipswereonly34withadeadweightof5.640million.Fromthispointofview,theorderscaleofmethanoldual-fuelpowercontainershipsin2023hascompletelysurpassedthatofLNGdual-fuelpowercontainerships.BytheendofDecember2023,在载重量吨位之间,theproportionofmethanoldual-fuelpoweredshipsintheglobalcontainershiporderbookhasreached31.6%,和LNG双燃料船舶,占40.4%,formedthe“twostrongones”ofenvironmentallyfriendlyfuelships.“pattern.
CSSCTongliaoCity’s500,000-kilowattwindpowerhydrogenproductionandmethanolintegrateddemonstrationproject-hydrogenproductionandmethanolprojecthasbeenregistered.