炭黑市场分析 (2月3日)
01 炭黑指数
According to Tuduo's data, the carbon black price index was 6809.5 on February 3, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 炭黑市场价格
03 分析影响炭黑市场的因素
1. Upstream raw materials: The price of coal tar in Shandong is 3800 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, it is 3760 yuan/ton; in Hebei, it is 3800 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is expected to remain stable to slightly weak in the short term.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample carbon black enterprises has slightly declined. Some large factories have chosen to reduce production lines to lower inventory, resulting in significant market pressure, which has suppressed the production enthusiasm of enterprises. Downstream demand was generally weak before the holiday. Under the influence of negative demand factors, the operating rate of the carbon black market is expected to remain low.
3. 下游需求：部分轮胎制造商在上月底已开始春节假期，而其他企业在本月初逐步完成生产，导致轮胎产量逐步下降，拖累整体开工率。其他大多数企业保持相对稳定的生产。
目前，各企业正在逐步确认假期安排，节前出货情况尚可，月初库存积累表现较强。
04. 市场展望
截至目前，原材料煤焦油的新订单仍呈下降趋势，成本因素持续不利。此外，部分轮胎制造商节前停工限制了补货需求，导致此前高位报价下降。市场交易停滞，炭黑市场新订单的重心预计将下移。
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