中国PE市场10月13日更新
国内石化库存:来自石油和天然气行业的聚烯烃库存达到84万吨,比上周增加了2万吨。
PE现货市场分析:今日国内PE市场价格呈现稳中有弱的混合走势。在华北地区,线性、高压、低压薄膜以及低压拉丝级产品的价格均较昨日有所下降,波动幅度在每吨20至110元之间。
在华东地区,只有高压等级的价格出现小幅下降,而线性、低压薄膜和低压拉丝等级的价格则保持稳定。在华南地区,仅低压拉丝等级的价格有所下降,而线性、高压和低压薄膜等级的价格与昨日相比均未发生变化。当前市场聚乙烯供应端呈现出“稳中有调、表现分化”的特点。
In East China, only high-pressure grades saw a slight decline, while prices for linear, low-pressure film, and low-pressure wire drawing grades remained stable. In South China, only low-pressure wire drawing grades saw a decline, while prices for linear, high-pressure, and low-pressure film grades all remained unchanged compared to yesterday. The current PE supply side of the market exhibits characteristics of "stability with adjustments and differentiated performance."
大多数厂家保持原有的出厂价格,少数厂家则根据库存和销售节奏调整报价。部分企业为促进出货,将价格下调10至200元/吨,极少数企业则上调50至200元/吨。不过,涨价尚未成为主流趋势,总体来看,供应方对价格的影响较小。
在需求方面,“刚需带动谨慎采购”的趋势依然持续。下游企业的采购活动总体保持低迷,主要以补充现有库存为主。买家倾向于逢低买入,主动采购的意愿较低。受需求疲软及市场看跌情绪的推动,目前PE现货价格正在下跌。市场参与者对未来市场前景持谨慎态度,因此难以形成明显的走势。
近期实际交易量有所增加,最终导致市场出现“价格下跌、交易清淡”的趋势。
PE现货价格预测:在期货市场上,L2601合约夜盘价格呈现区间震荡整理态势,先小幅上涨后又有所回落。早盘价格一度触底反弹,随后震荡走弱。午后时段价格弱势波动,低位盘整。当前PE市场面临“供应增加与需求疲软”的双重压力,导致价格呈现明显下行趋势。ntly increase actual trading volume, ultimately resulting in a market trend of "falling prices and thin trading."
PE spot price forecast: In the futures market, the L2601 contract's night trading price fluctuated and consolidated within a range, with a slight rise and then a fall. Prices initially bottomed out and rebounded in the morning session, before fluctuating and weakening. Prices fluctuated weakly in the afternoon session, remaining stagnant at a low level. The current PE market faces the dual pressures of "increasing supply and weak demand," resulting in a significant downward trend.
在供应方面,齐鲁石化的PE装置预计将于今天恢复生产。此次释放的14万吨产能将进一步补充市场供应。在当前库存压力已较大的情况下,这无疑将加剧供应宽松的局面。
需求持续低于预期。此前预计的旺季需求尚未显现,下游订单仍处于较低水平,对市场的支撑作用有限。在供需失衡的情况下,零售商普遍通过利润分成来缓解库存压力,进一步推动价格下行。总体来看,短期内聚乙烯市场预计将延续疲软的下跌趋势。
主流
Demand continues to fall short of expectations. The previously anticipated peak season demand has yet to materialize, and downstream orders remain at a mere demand level, providing limited support for the market. Amidst the supply-demand imbalance, retailers are generally using profit-sharing to reduce inventory pressures, further pushing prices downward. Overall, the polyethylene market is expected to continue its weak downward trend in the short term.
Mainstream 体育市场行情:
PE Futures Analysis:
10月13日,L2601开盘价:7015,最高价:7034,最低价:6975,持仓量:564,785手,结算价:7005,昨日结算价:7052,下跌47点,当日成交量:280,022手,资金流入:1,272万元。国内PE指数:
根据途多多数据,10月13日,国内HDPE现货指数为7552,下跌10点;LDPE薄膜现货指数为9328,下跌38点;LLDPE现货指数为7186,下跌13点。
Domestic PE Index: According to Tuduoduo data, on October 13th, the domestic HDPE spot index was 7552, down 10 points; the LDPE film spot index was 9328, down 38 points; and the LLDPE spot index was 7186, down 13 points.
申花拍卖统计:
今天线性产品的竞价量为700吨,成交60吨。高压产品的竞价量为400吨,未成交。低压产品的竞价量为0吨,未成交。我们的平台连接了数百家经过验证的
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